Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.04K | $0.929 | $1.01K | +$42.28 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 20.82 | $0.834 | $17.36 | 22m ago |
 |
| No |
| 763.58 |
| $0.835 |
| $652.86 |
| +$15.61 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 454.01 | $0.989 | $452.42 | +$3.49 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 629.97 | $0.568 | $412.63 | +$54.55 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 560.69 | $0.739 | $378.47 | -$35.77 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | No | 281.21 | $0.970 | $271.5 | -$1.19 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | 201.97 | $0.834 | $166.63 | -$1.8 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 138.56 | $0.970 | $135.58 | +$1.18 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 602.32 | $0.246 | $126.49 | -$21.76 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 112.28 | $0.776 | $98.25 | +$11.14 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 109.11 | $0.866 | $96.84 | +$2.33 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 75.11 | $0.929 | $70.23 | +$0.43 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 73.37 | $0.665 | $70.07 | +$21.24 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 127.99 | $0.500 | $59.52 | -$4.48 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 53.63 | $0.977 | $53.28 | +$0.88 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 51.58 | $0.969 | $49.75 | -$0.23 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 88.81 | $0.473 | $49.29 | +$7.27 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 46.82 | $0.550 | $42.61 | +$16.86 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 252.96 | $0.340 | $32.88 | -$53.12 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 40 | $0.430 | $32.6 | +$15.4 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 34.31 | $0.400 | $29.68 | +$15.96 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 199.7 | $0.400 | $28.96 | -$50.87 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 25.11 | $0.860 | $23.73 | +$2.13 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 27.59 | $0.850 | $23 | -$0.45 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 35.86 | $0.760 | $22.05 | -$5.2 |
| buy |
| 128.74 |
| $0.610 |
| $78.53 |
| 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 46.8 | $0.430 | $20.12 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 5.78 | $0.410 | $2.37 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 16.14 | $0.380 | $6.13 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 7.55 | $0.380 | $2.87 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.380 | $1.93 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.380 | $22.42 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 47.42 | $0.440 | $20.86 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 11.42 | $0.560 | $6.4 | 6h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 17.39 | $0.770 | $13.39 | 10h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 8.28 | $0.700 | $5.8 | 12h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 8.28 | $0.700 | $5.8 | 12h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 8.28 | $0.700 | $5.8 | 12h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 8.28 | $0.700 | $5.8 | 12h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 8.28 | $0.700 | $5.8 | 12h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 15.01 | $0.490 | $7.35 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 23.25 | $0.490 | $11.39 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.490 | $2.66 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 14.85 | $0.480 | $7.13 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 18h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.974 | $4.87 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.430 | $2.31 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 20h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.969 | $40.38 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.91 | $0.969 | $14.45 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?No | sell | 7.58 | $0.960 | $7.28 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 6.52 | $0.520 | $3.39 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 22.01 | $0.520 | $11.45 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.510 | $3.03 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.530 | $2.78 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 26.23 | $0.530 | $13.9 | 1d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.65 | $0.952 | $6.33 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 22.63 | $0.939 | $21.25 | 3d ago |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 42.48 | $0.957 | $40.65 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 232.89 | $0.996 | $231.96 | 5d ago |