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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.160 | $12 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 115.78 |
| $0.110 |
| $12.74 |
| Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 115.79 | $0.190 | $22 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 31.74 | $0.680 | $21.58 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.280 | $7 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.910 | $20.68 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 30.61 | $0.490 | $15 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | sell | 37.73 | $0.510 | $19.24 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.700 | $15 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 38.88 | $0.430 | $16.72 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.210 | $7.78 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | sell | 16.32 | $0.427 | $6.97 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 38.89 | $0.720 | $28 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 91.03 | $0.250 | $22.76 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | sell | 79.66 | $0.140 | $11.15 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 16.33 | $0.490 | $8 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.340 | $15 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | sell | 45.74 | $0.411 | $18.81 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 45.74 | $0.547 | $25 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | sell | 68.05 | $0.160 | $10.89 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 74.99 | $0.150 | $11.25 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.290 | $13.18 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.330 | $15 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.910 | $37.91 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.660 | $15 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 17?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.430 | $10.75 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.89 | $0.629 | $10 | Oct 10, 2025 |