Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 11 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 42.5% on 13 Oct 2025 and the low 0.7% on 17 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 21.5% on 15 Oct 2025. $402.2K traded over the market's life.
61 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 4:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 11 Oct 2025 – 17 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2025 | 32.5% |
| 17 Oct 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cattalist | Yes | 200K |
| foldfoldfold | Yes | 4.56K |
| aadvark | Yes | 3.73K |
| yec0003 | Yes | 3.33K |
| lavito | Yes | 2.86K |
| Heavy-Folk | Yes | 2K |
| SaintPabloS | Yes | 1.6K |
| shnegzh | Yes | 824.59 |
| GARY2HOU | Yes | 647.5 |
| Blue-Taxpayer | Yes | 500 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-17
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