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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 44.35 | $0.880 | $38.36 | -$0.67 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.060 | $0 | 6m ago |
|
| No |
| 32.93 |
| $0.857 |
| $28.15 |
| -$0.06 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 105.36 | $0.304 | $20.55 | -$11.48 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 20.09 | $0.919 | $19.72 | +$1.25 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 19.9 | $0.739 | $18.41 | +$3.71 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 17.79 | $0.880 | $15.56 | -$0.09 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 16.92 | $0.709 | $15.51 | +$3.52 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 16.33 | $0.728 | $11.84 | -$0.05 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 19.44 | $0.613 | $11.76 | -$0.16 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.17 | $0.949 | $11.38 | -$0.17 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 106.52 | $0.103 | $11.18 | +$0.16 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 10.53 | $0.944 | $9.92 | -$0.02 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 10.11 | $0.984 | $9.9 | -$0.05 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 26.07 | $0.311 | $8.99 | +$0.88 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | No | 8.88 | $0.935 | $8.47 | +$0.17 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 84.13 | $0.175 | $7.02 | -$7.68 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.1 | $0.893 | $6.42 | +$0.08 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 23.83 | $0.287 | $6.31 | -$0.53 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 6.72 | $0.939 | $6.29 | -$0.03 |
 Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028? | No | 6.66 | $0.925 | $6.16 | -$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 6.01 | $0.918 | $5.85 | +$0.33 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 5.97 | $0.972 | $5.78 | -$0.01 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.78 | $0.964 | $5.65 | +$0.08 |
 Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 5.92 | $0.947 | $5.6 | -$0.01 |
 Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September? | Yes | 4.97 | $0.999 | $4.97 | +$0 |
| sell |
| 0.93 |
| $0.060 |
| $0.06 |
| 32m ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.94 | $0.040 | $0.44 | 40m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | sell | 0.32 | $0.660 | $0.21 | 57m ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.060 | $0 | 1h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 1h ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.140 | $0.01 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.720 | $0.22 | 1h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 1h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 1h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 1h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.32 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 1h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 1h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 1h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.34 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 1h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.29 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 2h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 2h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 2h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.860 | $1.09 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.68 | $0.140 | $0.1 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.140 | $0.01 | 2h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.060 | $0 | 2h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.060 | $0.01 | 2h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.71 | $0.060 | $0.04 | 2h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.29 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 2h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.500 | $0.01 | 2h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.500 | $0.03 | 2h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.46 | $0.060 | $0.03 | 2h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 2h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.29 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 2.81 | $0.140 | $0.39 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.500 | $0.01 | 3h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.060 | $0.02 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.500 | $0.01 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.490 | $0.03 | 3h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.23 | $0.060 | $0.01 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.500 | $0.04 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.490 | $0.06 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.560 | $1.09 | 3h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.060 | $0 | 3h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.060 | $0 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 0.47 | $0.590 | $0.28 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 0.47 | $0.590 | $0.28 | 4h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.060 | $0 | 4h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.060 | $0 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.420 | $0.16 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.420 | $0.01 | 5h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.060 | $0 | 5h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.060 | $0.01 | 5h ago |