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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?No | sell | 41.66 | $0.080 | $3.33 | Aug 17, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 8.8 |
| $0.940 |
| $8.27 |
| Aug 17, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 185.26 | $0.101 | $18.77 | Aug 17, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 92.96 | $0.250 | $23.24 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 275.13 | $0.374 | $102.96 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 195.11 | $0.110 | $21.46 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 117.64 | $0.210 | $24.7 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 71.05 | $0.380 | $27 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 97.74 | $0.266 | $26 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Ethereum above $3,600 on August 1?Yes | buy | 52.44 | $0.820 | $43 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $120K on July 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 57.69 | $0.980 | $56.54 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: AugustYes | buy | 8.8 | $0.750 | $6.6 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?Yes | sell | 49.65 | $0.133 | $6.62 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 195.11 | $0.090 | $17.56 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 80.03 | $0.037 | $3 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 185.26 | $0.157 | $29 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Jul 17, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | sell | 48.35 | $0.705 | $34.1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 68.18 | $0.410 | $27.95 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.490 | $100 | Jul 17, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 48.36 | $0.724 | $35 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 47.99 | $0.521 | $25 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.440 | $30 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?Yes | buy | 49.66 | $0.604 | $30 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 57.69 | $0.520 | $30 | Jul 17, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 56.6 | $0.530 | $30 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?No | buy | 4 | $0.570 | $2.28 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?Yes | sell | 127.65 | $0.018 | $2.3 | May 21, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?Yes | buy | 36.27 | $0.110 | $3.99 | May 18, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?Yes | buy | 127.66 | $0.047 | $6 | May 18, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?Yes | buy | 75.64 | $0.110 | $8.32 | May 18, 2025 |