Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 3.5%. Yes opened at 74% on 29 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 29 Jul 2025 to 22 Aug 2025, the highest close was 96.5% on 22 Aug 2025 and the lowest 72% on 30 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 80.5% on 31 Jul 2025. $172.2K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 1:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 29 Jul 2025 – 22 Aug 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2025 | 74.0% |
| 22 Aug 2025 | 96.5% |
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This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Jerome Powell is out as Federal Reserve Chair - Israel withdraws its ground forces from Gaza - Donald Trump releases additional Epstein files - Donald Trump pardons Ghislaine Maxwell Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+August+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+August+2.png
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-august
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