Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 3.5%. Yes opened at 74% on 29 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 29 Jul 2025 to 22 Aug 2025, the highest close was 96.5% on 22 Aug 2025 and the lowest 72% on 30 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 80.5% on 31 Jul 2025. $172.2K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 1:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 29 Jul 2025 – 22 Aug 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2025 | 74.0% |
| 22 Aug 2025 | 96.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| can111 | Yes | 5.68K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.66K |
| WhiteLivesMatter | Yes | 1.26K |
| lissartter | Yes | 443.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Jerome Powell is out as Federal Reserve Chair - Israel withdraws its ground forces from Gaza - Donald Trump releases additional Epstein files - Donald Trump pardons Ghislaine Maxwell Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+August+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+August+2.png
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-august
| TsarNicholasII | No | 360.71 |
| Imtree | No | 250 |
| Dankwizart420 | Yes | 205.41 |
| sergioriol | Yes | 133.33 |
| eduGuess | Yes | 116.28 |
| fkwpt | Yes | 100 |
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