Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.160 | $2.58 | Aug 26, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 31.25 |
| $0.190 |
| $5.94 |
| Aug 26, 2025 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.130 | $5.42 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.880 | $7.33 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 233.97 | $0.203 | $47.53 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?No | sell | 7.24 | $0.770 | $5.57 | Jul 12, 2025 |
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jul 12, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | sell | 6.45 | $0.776 | $5.01 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will Elon register the America Party in July?No | sell | 9.25 | $0.850 | $7.86 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.186 | $12.4 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 71.41 | $0.152 | $10.85 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 128.86 | $0.341 | $44 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 9?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on July 9?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on July 9?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jul 7, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | buy | 6.46 | $0.774 | $5 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Elon register the America Party in July?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No | buy | 40.32 | $0.124 | $5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 71.41 | $0.140 | $10 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 41.99 | $0.238 | $10 | Jul 6, 2025 |