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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 7 | $0.310 | $6.44 | +$4.27 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.76 | $0.630 | $3.63 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 7.04 |
| $0.710 |
| $6.37 |
| +$1.37 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.97 | +$0.93 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 6.59 | $0.730 | $5.95 | +$1.14 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 19.8 | $0.250 | $5.74 | +$0.79 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | No | 6.08 | $0.799 | $5.73 | +$0.87 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 6.08 | $0.770 | $5.44 | +$0.76 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 9.16 | $0.550 | $5.18 | +$0.14 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 8.92 | $0.563 | $4.86 | -$0.16 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.77 | $0.570 | $4.43 | -$0.57 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.430 | $4.35 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 5.06 | $0.820 | $4.12 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.15 | $0.400 | $4.12 | +$0.86 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 6.08 | $0.780 | $3.65 | -$1.09 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.68 | $0.760 | $3.15 | +$0.35 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.410 | $2.87 | -$0.54 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 8 | $0.390 | $2.76 | -$0.36 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.5 | $0.220 | $2.34 | +$0.47 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.78 | +$0.28 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.8 | $0.500 | $1.52 | -$3.38 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 6.25 | $0.210 | $0.97 | -$0.34 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $0.2 | -$1.07 |
| buy |
| 4.06 |
| $0.680 |
| $2.76 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.65 | $0.248 | $1.65 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.72 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.36 | $0.670 | $4.93 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of July 13 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?No | buy | 9 | $0.460 | $4.14 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?Yes | buy | 7.92 | $0.640 | $5.07 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?No | buy | 7.87 | $0.630 | $4.96 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.290 | $2.03 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.86 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.61 | $0.355 | $2.7 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.228 | $1.38 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.700 | $4.97 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.01 | $0.359 | $1.08 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 24, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.520 | $4.77 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 8 | $0.590 | $4.72 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.450 | $3.66 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.740 | $2.01 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.570 | $2.03 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.799 | $4.86 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.810 | $4.92 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.400 | $3.26 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.710 | $4.86 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | May 28, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?Up | buy | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.72 | May 28, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 27?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | May 27, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | buy | 11.5 | $0.420 | $4.83 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | May 26, 2026 |