Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.995 |
| $1 |
| Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on December 18?Down | buy | 17.6 | $0.450 | $7.92 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on December 18?Down | buy | 320.4 | $0.449 | $144 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.963 | $2 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.939 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.941 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.965 | $3 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.956 | $3 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.956 | $2 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.130 | $3.9 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.988 | $4.94 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 657.5 | $0.020 | $13.15 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 657.61 | $0.020 | $13.15 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 657.62 | $0.021 | $13.81 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 14.55 | $0.949 | $13.81 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 14.55 | $0.949 | $13.81 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.663 | $1.27K | Oct 29, 2024 |