Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 21.98 | $0.910 | $2.75 | -$17.25 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 9.76 | $0.410 | $4 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.060 |
| $2.03 |
| -$0.98 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 25.14 | $0.597 | $1.89 | -$13.11 |
| buy |
| 16.28 |
| $0.430 |
| $7 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.550 | $15 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 11.14 | $0.898 | $10 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
 ECB rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 21.1 | $0.948 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.178 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 25.14 | $0.597 | $15 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 46.88 | $0.032 | $1.5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 11.09 | $0.902 | $10 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.971 | $10.55 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.026 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.62 | $0.181 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.950 | $15 | Dec 9, 2025 |