Latest trade
Sep 29, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 2:09 PM UTC.
Analytics
tlambert is down $4.6 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 29, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 2:09 PM UTC.
$11.69 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 46 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Feb 26, 2025 UTC to Sep 29, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?No | buy | 53.37 | $0.996 | $53.16 | 24d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 04:23 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 14:09 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 14:09 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 04:23 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.93 and losing ones cost $8.58 across the latest 50 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.84 on “Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?” (No); the largest loss, $6.02 on “Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 29 Sep 2026. It has traded 58 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 43.97 |
| $0.995 |
| $43.75 |
| Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 38.82 | $0.999 | $38.78 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $40 in June?No | buy | 40.42 | $0.999 | $40.38 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.999 | $5.06 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in May?No | buy | 45.23 | $0.999 | $45.18 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.999 | $3.49 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will BNB reach $800 in April?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.999 | $7.93 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?No | buy | 9.13 | $0.999 | $9.12 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in April?No | buy | 31.17 | $0.999 | $31.14 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Solana reach $140 in March?No | buy | 10.38 | $0.999 | $10.37 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will XRP reach $2.40 in March?No | buy | 30.14 | $0.998 | $30.08 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will XRP reach $3.40 in February?No | buy | 12.08 | $0.999 | $12.07 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 in February?No | buy | 31.53 | $0.999 | $31.5 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?No | buy | 15.64 | $0.999 | $15.62 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?No | buy | 32.79 | $0.944 | $30.95 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in December?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.999 | $3.05 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| XRP all time high by December 31?No | buy | 10.98 | $0.999 | $10.97 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 33.4 | $0.999 | $33.37 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 29.82 | $0.999 | $29.79 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $150 in October?No | buy | 15.9 | $0.996 | $15.84 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No | buy | 24.67 | $0.999 | $24.64 | Oct 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 11.55 | $0.999 | $11.54 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No | buy | 28.93 | $0.999 | $28.9 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 6.42 | $0.999 | $6.41 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will XRP dip to $2.30 in August?No | buy | 12 | $0.996 | $11.96 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?No | buy | 29.08 | $0.997 | $28.99 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.997 | $6.72 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?No | buy | 8.49 | $0.995 | $8.45 | Jul 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?No | buy | 32.08 | $0.997 | $31.98 | Jul 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?No | buy | 6.29 | $0.999 | $6.28 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?No | buy | 7.54 | $0.999 | $7.53 | May 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.998 | $10.19 | May 30, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum all time high in May?No | buy | 9.46 | $0.999 | $9.45 | May 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana reach $190 in April?No | buy | 6.44 | $0.998 | $6.43 | Apr 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 4.25 | $0.999 | $4.25 | Apr 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Xi visit the US before May?No | buy | 2.98 | $0.998 | $2.97 | Apr 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.998 | $5.5 | Apr 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.994 | $2.88 | Apr 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 6.02K | $0.998 | $6.01K | Apr 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 6.02K | $0.999 | $6.01K | Apr 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?No | buy | 7.67 | $0.999 | $7.66 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will XRP reach $3.10 in March?No | buy | 9.59 | $0.999 | $9.58 | Mar 29, 2025 UTC |
 Ethereum all time high by March 31?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.999 | $8.03 | Mar 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31?No | buy | 9.83 | $0.997 | $9.8 | Mar 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31?No | buy | 8.25 | $0.996 | $8.22 | Mar 28, 2025 UTC |
 Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?No | buy | 18.56 | $0.997 | $18.5 | Feb 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 11.87 | $0.998 | $11.85 | Feb 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 12.44 | $0.964 | $11.99 | Feb 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in February 2025?No | buy | 14.2 | $0.990 | $14.06 | Feb 26, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.