Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.9 | $0.550 | $0.7 | +$0.21 |
 Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.260 | $9.36 | Jun 21, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 0.53 |
| $0.046 |
| $0.01 |
| -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 36 |
| $0.260 |
| $9.36 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.150 | $21 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.065 | $3.45 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.963 | $38.52 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.600 | $31.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.600 | $31.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.850 | $47.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.850 | $47.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 144 | $0.040 | $5.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 188 | $0.040 | $7.52 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.83 | $0.550 | $16.96 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.090 | $4.95 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.280 | $16.24 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.280 | $49 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 84 | $0.350 | $29.4 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 148 | $0.039 | $5.77 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.038 | $5.62 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.932 | $49.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.530 | $13.25 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.550 | $6.6 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.046 | $4.05 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 65 | $0.780 | $50.7 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 65 | $0.780 | $50.7 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 114 | $0.046 | $5.24 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 109.03 | $0.045 | $4.91 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.982 | $45.17 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 69 | $0.690 | $47.61 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 58 | $0.750 | $43.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.947 | $47.35 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.025 | $0.95 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 5 | $0.974 | $4.87 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?No | sell | 5 | $0.923 | $4.62 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?No | buy | 5 | $0.902 | $4.51 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.986 | $1.7 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.916 | $1.9 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 16 | $0.963 | $15.41 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?No | sell | 14 | $0.983 | $13.76 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?No | sell | 2 | $0.983 | $1.97 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Freddie Freeman lead the MLB in RBI's?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.007 | $0.18 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Freddie Freeman lead the MLB in RBI's?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.007 | $0.16 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 16 | $0.931 | $14.9 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 16 | $0.931 | $14.9 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Freddie Freeman lead the MLB in RBI's?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.007 | $0.34 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.933 | $10.37 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 17 | $0.941 | $16 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 16 | $0.986 | $15.78 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days?No | buy | 16 | $0.991 | $15.86 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon 250-499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?No | buy | 16 | $0.992 | $15.87 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?No | sell | 15 | $0.992 | $14.88 | Apr 5, 2025 |