Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 5 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 147 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2024 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 36.5% on 28 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 36.5% on 28 Dec 2024. $67.4K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 8:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 147 points, 5 Dec 2024 – 30 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2024 | 12.5% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Knowledgeable-Precedent | Yes | 730.06 |
| Coral Vector 3F6F | Yes | 184.5 |
| Ivory Kestrel 9A07 | Yes | 164.48 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Penny receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Daniel Penny is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-pardons
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| bobington | Yes | 100 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 90 |
| Bloger3 | Yes | 40 |
| gfdgfd | Yes | 28.57 |
| Bold Kestrel 65A4 | No | 12.02 |
| Azure Quasar 69E2 | No | 8.03 |
| Azure Oracle 9FE8 | No | 7.6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
