Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 226.69 | $0.035 | $7.83 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 4.17K |
| $0.012 |
| $50 |
| Feb 12, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.021 | $210 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.68K | $0.022 | $500 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45K | $0.029 | $100 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 730.58 | $0.067 | $48.82 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.044 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.68K | $0.044 | $250 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 4.33K | $0.051 | $220.69 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 5.65K | $0.039 | $220.69 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5.65K | $0.063 | $355.92 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.94K | $0.063 | $500 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Khamenei seen in public before July?No | buy | 179.84 | $0.556 | $100 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Israeli ground operation against Fordow before August?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?Yes | buy | 251.36 | $0.199 | $50 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?Yes | buy | 968.6 | $0.052 | $50 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.024 | $50 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.473 | $104.13 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.068 | $102.56 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 222 | $0.462 | $102.56 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.151 | $194.14 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 739.64 | $0.338 | $250 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 981 | $0.306 | $300 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.97K | $0.152 | $300 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.380 | $500 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 645.23 | $0.155 | $100 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Another Israel military action on Yemen before July?No | buy | 696.5 | $0.072 | $50 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Gavin Newsom arrested by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.015 | $20 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?Yes | sell | 769.23 | $0.120 | $92.31 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11 AM ETUp | buy | 70.18 | $0.520 | $36.49 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11 AM ETDown | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12 PM ETUp | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex Gazan territory before July?Yes | buy | 346.85 | $0.016 | $5.55 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Another Israel military action on Yemen before July?No | buy | 364.74 | $0.200 | $72.95 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.210 | $50.4 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?No | buy | 501.39 | $0.180 | $90.25 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | sell | 1K | $0.977 | $977.3 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.216 | $54 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will Mitch McConnell retire before July?Yes | buy | 148.14 | $0.203 | $30 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?Yes | sell | 715 | $0.100 | $71.5 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 XRP all time high by January 31?No | sell | 760.1 | $0.999 | $759.34 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| XRP all time high by January 31?No | sell | 306.31 | $0.999 | $306 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high by January 31?No | sell | 145.53 | $0.974 | $141.68 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Yes | buy | 331.53 | $0.300 | $99.4 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump sign a bill into law in his first week?No | sell | 180 | $0.978 | $175.97 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.200 | $20.2 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?Yes | buy | 443.75 | $0.080 | $35.5 | Jan 23, 2025 |