Latest trade
Jun 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 3:59 PM UTC.
Analytics
Simonlikt is down $14.14 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 3:59 PM UTC.
$11.95 median trade
Its latest 172 trades covered 91 markets; 63.4% were buys. They run from Jan 5, 2025 UTC to Jun 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 37 | $0.963 | $35.63 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 14:07 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-17 15:59 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
172 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-17 15:59 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 16:05 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $8.62 and losing ones cost $12.8 across the latest 50 settled positions. 32% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.12 on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?” (No); the largest loss, $3.56 on “Cuban regime falls in 2026?” (Yes).
It first traded on 18 Dec 2024 and most recently on 25 Jun 2026, 114 days ago. It has traded 111 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 36.19 |
| $0.140 |
| $5.07 |
| Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.210 | $25.2 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 83 | $0.520 | $43.16 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.080 | $5.28 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.101 | $0.1 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.101 | $8.69 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.160 | $5.6 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.180 | $0.72 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | sell | 4 | $0.910 | $3.64 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.111 | $1.44 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.962 | $42.33 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 19 | $0.983 | $18.68 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 27 | $0.985 | $26.6 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 68 | $0.420 | $28.56 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.965 | $43.43 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.850 | $11.05 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.860 | $11.18 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 76 | $0.150 | $11.4 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.170 | $6.8 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.360 | $7.92 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.360 | $9.36 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.830 | $47.31 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.926 | $32.41 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.985 | $19.7 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.290 | $21.46 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 77 | $0.560 | $43.12 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 77 | $0.550 | $42.35 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 148 | $0.034 | $5.03 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.032 | $4.74 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 47 | $0.975 | $45.82 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.974 | $45.78 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.986 | $46.34 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.986 | $46.34 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 52 | $0.750 | $39 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.520 | $4.16 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 39 | $0.953 | $37.17 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.640 | $40.96 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.670 | $42.88 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.940 | $42.3 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.968 | $9.68 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.042 | $1.89 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 36 | $0.460 | $16.56 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.984 | $39.36 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.985 | $39.4 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.860 | $35.26 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 51 | $0.870 | $44.37 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.