Latest trade
Mar 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:04 AM UTC.
Analytics
lucao554 is down $1.07K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 24 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:04 AM UTC.
$51.49 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 23 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Oct 24, 2025 UTC to Mar 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | sell | 139.4 | $0.057 | $7.95 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-24 22:34 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 04:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 04:04 UTC
polymarket positions
25 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-24 22:34 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $731.88 and losing ones cost $1.8K across 24 settled positions. 41.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $206.19 on “Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?” (Yes); the largest loss, $437.6 on “Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Mar 2026. It has traded 23 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 1.85K |
| $0.055 |
| $101.55 |
| Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 3.75K | $0.001 | $3.75 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 648.25 | $0.211 | $136.78 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.22K | $0.080 | $97.63 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 4.97K | $0.010 | $50 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 567.87 | $0.314 | $178.53 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 599.8 | $0.298 | $178.81 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 169.78 | $0.312 | $52.97 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 54.11 | $0.979 | $52.97 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 54.11 | $0.450 | $24.35 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETUp | buy | 33.06 | $0.150 | $4.96 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown | buy | 28.88 | $0.470 | $13.58 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETDown | buy | 16.3 | $0.300 | $4.89 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETDown | buy | 18.77 | $0.330 | $6.19 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 110.75 | $0.030 | $3.32 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 427.89 | $0.030 | $12.84 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
 SBF released from custody in 2025?Yes | buy | 418.6 | $0.086 | $36 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 4.28 | $0.030 | $0.13 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 25.8 | $0.030 | $0.77 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.030 | $1.8 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 441.36 | $0.068 | $30 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | sell | 217 | $0.930 | $201.84 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.072 | $100 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 217 | $0.190 | $41.23 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | sell | 429.79 | $0.945 | $406.19 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 31?No | buy | 689.71 | $0.306 | $211.01 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 31?No | buy | 822.93 | $0.391 | $321.97 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro win the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 226.28 | $0.041 | $9.3 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 31?No | buy | 275.48 | $0.363 | $100 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | sell | 448.22 | $0.586 | $262.63 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| SBF released from custody in 2025?Yes | buy | 347.75 | $0.046 | $15.83 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 184.47 | $0.968 | $178.61 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | sell | 100.5 | $0.998 | $100.3 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.070 | $78.32 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 774 | $0.350 | $270.9 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.290 | $100 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 370.9 | $0.680 | $252.21 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 268.5 | $0.372 | $100 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.800 | $80.4 | Oct 28, 2025 UTC |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | sell | 837.54 | $0.096 | $80.4 | Oct 28, 2025 UTC |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 543.21 | $0.184 | $99.95 | Oct 28, 2025 UTC |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 294.34 | $0.257 | $75.77 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down on October 27?Down | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 27?Down | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| SBF released from custody in 2025?Yes | buy | 259.74 | $0.077 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Solana be above $210 on October 24?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.004 | $16 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 24?Yes | buy | 154.41 | $0.136 | $21 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 24?Yes | buy | 231.83 | $0.086 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
 LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 1 Winner100 Thieves | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.