Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 9 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.7% on 24 Mar 2026 and the low 72.5% on 9 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 96.8% on 10 Mar 2026.
138 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 25, 10:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 9 Mar 2026 – 24 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Mar 2026 | 72.5% |
| 24 Mar 2026 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quirky-Antling | No | 7.45K |
| oak | No | 6.37K |
| tomsir | No | 5.52K |
| As77 | No | 5.05K |
| Dimer | No | 5K |
| acal | No | 4.25K |
| wthellyonte | No | 3.67K |
| brainsz | No | 3K |
| asheehit | No | 2.85K |
| Flecha | No | 2.81K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Backpack's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Backpack (https://x.com/Backpack) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/backpack-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
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