Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 85.5%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 29 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 29 Oct 2025 to 30 Oct 2025, the highest close was 85.5% on 30 Oct 2025 and the lowest 54.5% on 29 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 85.5% on 30 Oct 2025. $7.3M traded over the market's life.
458 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 31, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 29 Oct 2025 – 30 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2025 | 54.5% |
| 30 Oct 2025 | 85.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wary-Arcade | No | 161.84K |
| hed0nist | No | 144.13K |
| belibaster | No | 118.4K |
| H.P.Lovecraft | No | 50K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the MegaETH raise on Sonar exceeds $1.2B before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official raise page available at https://token.megaeth.com/ If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.”
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/over-1pt8b-committed-to-the-megaeth-public-sale
| Crafty-Tintype | No | 47K |
| enjoyerofthings | No | 46.76K |
| Predicc | No | 25.73K |
| Lunar Sphinx BD8B | No | 21.21K |
| randomgr | No | 20K |
| canvi | No | 19.59K |
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