Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 84.2%. Yes opened at 62% on 9 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 9 Mar 2026 to 24 Mar 2026, the highest close was 95% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 62% on 9 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 90% on 10 Mar 2026.
495 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 25, 10:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 9 Mar 2026 – 24 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Mar 2026 | 62.0% |
| 24 Mar 2026 | 84.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yosokki | No | 49.58K |
| Crafty-Tintype | No | 41.7K |
| tomsir | No | 36.9K |
| Elegant-Vacation | No | 35K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Backpack's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Backpack (https://x.com/Backpack) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/backpack-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| ituarb | No | 32.94K |
| 22xYz22 | No | 30K |
| DGX123 | No | 28.61K |
| Harmonious-Reality | No | 26.17K |
| nbabii | No | 21.85K |
| zjaksd | No | 20K |
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