Latest trade
Sep 30, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:00 AM UTC.
Analytics
Fortunate-Sty is down $325.56 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 40 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 30, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:00 AM UTC.
$40 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 14 markets; 68.0% were buys. They run from Jun 19, 2026 UTC to Sep 30, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 166.39 | $0.601 | $97.34 | -$2.66 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 205.13 | $0.390 | $80 | 23d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-18 07:56 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 06:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 06:00 UTC
polymarket positions
42 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-18 07:56 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $289.63 and losing ones cost $568.34 across 40 settled positions. 57.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $74.88 on “Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $79.45 on “MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 30 Sep 2026. It has traded 47 markets. Its open positions are worth $139.39 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 205.13 |
| $0.390 |
| $42.05 |
| -$37.95 |
| buy |
| 32.42 |
| $0.617 |
| $20 |
| 25d ago |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?No | buy | 40.54 | $0.740 | $30 | 25d ago |
| Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?Yes | buy | 57.72 | $0.693 | $40 | 25d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 166.39 | $0.601 | $100 | 25d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 158.73 | $0.490 | $77.78 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 67.33 | $0.149 | $10 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 693.27 | $0.946 | $656.13 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 693.28 | $0.952 | $660 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 84.29 | $0.307 | $25.88 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 1.32K | $0.333 | $439.82 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 454.96 | $0.450 | $204.73 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.300 | $40 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 161.67 | $0.247 | $40 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?No | buy | 95.51 | $0.209 | $20 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 78.13 | $0.320 | $25 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 296.66 | $0.192 | $57 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 388.46 | $0.257 | $100 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 254.46 | $0.393 | $100 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | sell | 477 | $0.022 | $10.39 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | buy | 380.85 | $0.263 | $100 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 152.21 | $0.192 | $29.27 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 152.22 | $0.657 | $100 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | buy | 96.15 | $0.260 | $25 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.872 | $43.6 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No | sell | 101 | $0.250 | $25.25 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.297 | $14.85 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No | buy | 101 | $0.198 | $20 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No | sell | 70.66 | $0.230 | $16.25 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No | buy | 70.67 | $0.142 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 95.21 | $0.462 | $44 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 481.11 | $0.510 | $245.37 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 100.9 | $0.510 | $51.46 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.510 | $102 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.510 | $204 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.510 | $40.8 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 116.14 | $0.370 | $42.97 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?No | sell | 402 | $0.113 | $45.34 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 549.68 | $0.340 | $186.89 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 402.01 | $0.249 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.