Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 10.92 | $0.916 | $10.43 | +$0.43 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.11 |
| $0.989 |
| $10.07 |
| +$0.07 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 6.24 | $0.962 | $6.13 | +$0.12 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 5.23 | $0.956 | $5.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2.14 | $0.935 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 1.39 | $0.719 | $1.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 1.47 |
| $0.680 |
| $1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.929 | $2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | sell | 42.34 | $0.760 | $32.18 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.380 | $26.6 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | May 30, 2026 |
 Vicenza: Lukas Neumayer vs Remy BertolaLukas Neumayer | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.550 | $44 | May 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?Yes | sell | 23.14 | $0.589 | $13.62 | May 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETDown | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETDown | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-05-02?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsFire Flux Esports | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETDown | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.935 | $2 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETDown | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $0.99 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETDown | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $0.99 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2T1 Academy | buy | 1.15 | $0.860 | $0.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.962 | $6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.956 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Nongshim Red Force | buy | 2.35 | $0.410 | $0.96 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.13 | $0.870 | $0.98 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 651.96 | $0.996 | $649.35 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 651.96 | $0.997 | $650 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Grizzlies vs. NuggetsNuggets | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 10.92 | $0.916 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 696.46 | $0.961 | $669.3 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 6.26 | $0.140 | $0.88 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 686.07 | $0.962 | $660 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 28?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | sell | 668 | $0.997 | $666 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.15 | $0.860 | $0.99 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | buy | 668 | $0.997 | $666 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C or below on March 26?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETDown | buy | 1.15 | $0.860 | $0.99 | Mar 25, 2026 |