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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 45.86 | $0.379 | $17.38 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 250 |
| $0.975 |
| $243.75 |
| Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 29.72 | $0.470 | $13.97 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.491 | $638.28 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 97.57 | $0.412 | $40.2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.230 | $46 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.523 | $1.15K | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.414 | $3.73 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 670 | $0.410 | $274.7 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.414 | $310.5 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.440 | $220.08 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 175.83 | $0.418 | $73.5 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 127.23 | $0.393 | $50 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.476 | $713.58 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?No | sell | 437 | $0.565 | $246.9 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | buy | 352 | $0.696 | $244.88 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | buy | 761.3 | $0.660 | $502.46 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | buy | 119 | $0.650 | $77.35 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | buy | 476.18 | $0.650 | $309.46 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 462.5 | $0.027 | $12.36 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | sell | 0.72 | $0.700 | $0.5 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.760 | $152 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | sell | 260 | $0.614 | $159.71 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'Zelenskyy' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.600 | $18 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'unemployment' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.412 | $10.3 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal today?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal today?Yes | buy | 88.1 | $0.350 | $30.83 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Zelenskyy' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.730 | $21.9 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'trans' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.571 | $114.26 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 116.74 | $0.428 | $50 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 116.87 | $0.428 | $50 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 116.87 | $0.428 | $50 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.400 | $30 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.400 | $30 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.640 | $200 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes | sell | 122 | $0.140 | $17.08 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.051 | $5.08 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No | buy | 300 | $0.919 | $275.64 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.084 | $16.71 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes | sell | 900.78 | $0.089 | $80.49 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.369 | $73.8 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.620 | $93 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.650 | $129.93 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes | buy | 0.79 | $0.400 | $0.32 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | sell | 2.75K | $0.170 | $467.38 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will DOGE cut $1B from USAID before March?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.930 | $33.48 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | sell | 200 | $0.170 | $34 | Feb 6, 2025 |