Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 13.5%. Yes opened at 63% on 7 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2025 to 18 Feb 2025, the highest close was 81.5% on 10 Feb 2025 and the lowest 13.5% on 17 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 41% on 13 Feb 2025. $18.54K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 19, 11:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 7 Feb 2025 – 18 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2025 | 63.0% |
| 18 Feb 2025 | 13.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Juliandiemofficial | Yes | 17.15 |
| ElroyBert | No | 2.52 |
| dolmil | Yes | 0.02 |
| bigballer | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) cuts $1 billion or more from USAID by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be https://www.doge-tracker.com/, specifically the value for "USAID" listed in the 'Departments' tab. If doge-tracker.com becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-doge-cut-1b-from-usaid-before-march
| testeman | Yes | 0.01 |
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