Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 204.22 | $0.979 | $200 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 101.11 |
| $0.989 |
| $100 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by August 15?No | buy | 85.95 | $0.989 | $85 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 102.02 | $0.980 | $100 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 151.67 | $0.989 | $150 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No | buy | 233.63 | $0.984 | $230 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by July 31?No | buy | 145.45 | $0.990 | $144 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 143.59 | $0.975 | $140 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 225.71 | $0.988 | $223 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 132 | $0.985 | $130 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 207.68 | $0.963 | $200 | May 7, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 172.76 | $0.984 | $170 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | buy | 200.92 | $0.995 | $199.92 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 154.89 | $0.968 | $150 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.961 | $155 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No | buy | 202.57 | $0.986 | $199.72 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 302.22 | $0.993 | $300 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?No | buy | 162.3 | $0.992 | $161 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 186.72 | $0.964 | $180 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 151.52 | $0.990 | $150 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2?No | buy | 231.16 | $0.995 | $230 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 246.46 | $0.990 | $244 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 212.34 | $0.989 | $210 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.988 | $197.6 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 473.58 | $0.984 | $466 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?No | buy | 13.27 | $0.980 | $13 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 BNB all time high by December 31?No | buy | 302.79 | $0.994 | $301 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by December 31?No | buy | 167.85 | $0.989 | $166 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will BNB dip to $600 in November?No | buy | 456.83 | $0.996 | $455 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 11?Yes | buy | 344.69 | $0.998 | $344 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $200 on November 12?No | buy | 125.38 | $0.997 | $125 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?Up | buy | 463.24 | $0.993 | $460 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | sell | 406.24 | $0.999 | $405.83 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 406.24 | $0.985 | $400 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 6?No | buy | 152.3 | $0.998 | $152 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 52.25 | $0.957 | $50 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 $YZY listed on Coinbase or Binance by September 30?No | buy | 151.52 | $0.990 | $150 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $340 in August?No | buy | 205.23 | $0.994 | $204 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 210.21 | $0.999 | $210 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3100 and $3200 on July 23?No | buy | 203.41 | $0.998 | $203 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?No | sell | 85.25 | $0.998 | $85.08 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 85.26 | $0.997 | $85 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on July 16?Yes | buy | 120.85 | $0.993 | $120 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be greater than $180 on June 6?No | buy | 167.18 | $0.993 | $166 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 30.12 | $0.996 | $30 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?No | buy | 189.19 | $0.999 | $189 | May 16, 2025 |
 Solana all time high in April?No | buy | 163.65 | $0.996 | $163 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Noboa win by 4-6%?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signed into law by March 31?No | buy | 200.46 | $0.998 | $200 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "Good Afternoon" during the March meeting?Yes | buy | 204.51 | $0.978 | $200 | Mar 11, 2025 |