Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 14 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 109 daily closes on record from 14 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 27.5% on 14 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 24% on 27 Jan 2025. $213.87K traded over the market's life.
92 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 7:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 14 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2024 | 27.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Karpdm51 | Yes | 1.11K |
| Nizarius | Yes | 1.1K |
| LuminousHero25 | Yes | 1.09K |
On November 18, Texas Representative Giovanni Capriglione introduced H.B. 1598, a bill to establish a strategic bitcoin reserve within the state treasury (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/12/texas-house-introduces-bill-to-establish-a-strategic-bitcoin-reserve.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if H.B. 1598, the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act, is signed into law by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be official information from the Texas Legislature or credible reporting from outlets such as the Texas Tribune or Associated Press.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/texas-strategic-bitcoin-reserve-act-signed-into-law-by-march-31
| zarboxyl | Yes | 910 |
| IvuskinMykola | Yes | 838.81 |
| garlicca | Yes | 350 |
| chromeo95 | Yes | 203.32 |
| lovelylongii | Yes | 192.08 |
| happending | Yes | 188 |
| BigCharlie | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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