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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 524.38 | $0.880 | $464.07 | +$2.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 302.49 | $0.820 | $248.04 | 22h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 363.21 |
| $0.821 |
| $315.99 |
| +$17.95 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 206.2 | $0.875 | $206.1 | +$25.6 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 212.33 | $0.792 | $201.71 | +$33.49 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 228.22 | $0.837 | $170.03 | -$20.97 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 165.44 | $0.907 | $148.89 | -$1.11 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 175.89 | $0.681 | $106.41 | -$13.39 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 129.94 | $0.709 | $102 | +$9.86 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic | 84.01 | $0.916 | $76.45 | -$0.5 |
 Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | Yes | 68.18 | $0.880 | $66.03 | +$6.03 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 64.94 | $0.770 | $63.8 | +$13.8 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 152.41 | $0.865 | $57.15 | -$74.62 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 61.73 | $0.810 | $56.48 | +$6.48 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 48.57 | $0.824 | $44.68 | +$4.68 |
 Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | Yes | 41.18 | $0.850 | $39.3 | +$4.3 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 32.22 | $0.869 | $26.42 | -$1.58 |
| buy |
| 165.44 |
| $0.907 |
| $150 |
| 22h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 60.23 | $0.880 | $53 | 22h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 61.92 | $0.808 | $50 | 22h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.880 | $60 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 112.94 | $0.790 | $89.22 | 3d ago |
| Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? | buy | 28.54 | $0.690 | $19.69 | 4d ago |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? | buy | 60.66 | $0.648 | $39.31 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 60.72 | $0.823 | $50 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 37.47 | $0.774 | $29 | 4d ago |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? | buy | 54.33 | $0.540 | $29.33 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.800 | $6 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 75.38 | $0.796 | $60 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 145.35 | $0.860 | $125 | 14d ago |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic | buy | 84.01 | $0.916 | $76.95 | 27d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 395.97 | $0.881 | $348.66 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 32.22 | $0.869 | $28 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 37.78 | $0.900 | $34 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 41.18 | $0.850 | $35 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 319.36 | $0.150 | $47.9 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.92 | $0.750 | $38.94 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 16.88 | $0.770 | $13 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.900 | $40 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 28.41 | $0.880 | $25 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 39.04 | $0.900 | $35.14 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.67 | $0.905 | $35 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.65 | $0.883 | $50 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes | buy | 29.07 | $0.860 | $25 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 49.38 | $0.810 | $40 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Yes | buy | 54.2 | $0.738 | $40 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 44.78 | $0.670 | $30 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 31.76 | $0.910 | $28.9 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 59.19 | $0.860 | $50.9 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 64.94 | $0.770 | $50 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 28.09 | $0.890 | $25 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 81.97 | $0.610 | $50 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 56.74 | $0.890 | $50.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.73 | $0.810 | $50 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 28.74 | $0.870 | $25 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $22B?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 28.74 | $0.870 | $25 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Swedish Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Hugo GastonDaniel Altmaier | buy | 28.38 | $0.881 | $25 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 26.62 | $0.939 | $25 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Yes | buy | 28.41 | $0.880 | $25 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5Over | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 41.84 | $0.597 | $25 | Jul 14, 2026 |