Analytics
Trading ended on 13 Aug 2026 with Yes at 96.8%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 98 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.7% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 55% on 17 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 97.5%; a month before, 96.4%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 83.5% on 19 Jul 2026.
Mark Brown is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands”, ahead of Tina Browne at 1.5%.
$48.39K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is archaic with 7.6K shares; the largest No position is anoin123 with 5.9K. Ten wallets hold 72.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 6:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 98 points, 17 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | 55.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 96.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| archaic | Yes | 7.63K |
| anoin123 | No | 5.89K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 3.15K |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-the-cook-islands-20260715193547852
| Bromley86 |
| Yes |
| 2.61K |
| Amber Pulse BB1D | No | 1.48K |
| Binturung | Yes | 1K |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | No | 972.9 |
| Royal Pulse AF37 | No | 969.05 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 917.83 |
| taesookim | Yes | 746 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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