Analytics
Trading ended on 13 Aug 2026 with Yes at 1.1%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 96 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 16.5% on 17 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 3 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.9%; a month before, 1.2%. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 9% on 18 Jul 2026.
Teariki Heather ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands”. Mark Brown leads at 96.8%; Tina Browne is at 1.5%.
$5.34K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is FrozenParasite with 770 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 918. Ten wallets hold 73.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 4:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 96 points, 17 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | 16.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 917.83 |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 769.6 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 482.92 |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-the-cook-islands-20260715193547852
| r6turtut76u | Yes | 349.17 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 222.6 |
| BrittanyBarnes5332 | No | 200 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 191.86 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 125.64 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 123.28 |
| Bromley86 | No | 112.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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