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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 19.27 | $0.986 | $19 | May 20, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 21.36 |
| $0.983 |
| $21 |
| May 20, 2026 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | May 20, 2026 |
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | May 20, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 49.71 | $0.995 | $49.46 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 60.36 | $0.994 | $60 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | buy | 8.75 | $0.999 | $8.74 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 20.51 | $0.975 | $20 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 28.48 | $0.999 | $28.45 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 20.16 | $0.992 | $20 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 60.35 | $0.995 | $60.05 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 48.1 | $0.998 | $48 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.4 | $0.998 | $6.39 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 101.65 | $0.994 | $101 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?Yes | buy | 9.12 | $0.987 | $9 | Jan 12, 2025 |
US inauguration on January 20?Yes | buy | 21.26 | $0.988 | $21 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Trump in jail before inauguration?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.998 | $11 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?No | buy | 15.21 | $0.986 | $15 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Will XRP flip ETH in 2024?No | buy | 18.02 | $0.999 | $18 | Dec 31, 2024 |
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?No | buy | 11.8 | $0.932 | $11 | Dec 31, 2024 |
OpenSea token announcement in 2024?No | buy | 11.13 | $0.988 | $11 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Ethena USDe flips USDC market cap in 2024?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Dec 31, 2024 |