Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10% on 14 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 81 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 10% on 14 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Dec 2025. $1.21M traded over the market's life.
74 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 14 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2025 | 10.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 152.74K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 10.5K |
| Kimich | Yes | 5K |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-2025
| Yes |
| 4K |
| kkkuou | Yes | 3.84K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 3.27K |
| Lutoken | Yes | 3.07K |
| Cobalt Harbor 98E6 | Yes | 1.86K |
| Brotempee | Yes | 1.74K |
| Lesivv | Yes | 1.68K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
