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Resolved No on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 16% on 13 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 85% on 18 Dec 2024 and the low 0.1% on 21 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 85% on 18 Dec 2024. $617.72K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 7:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 13 Dec 2024 – 21 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2024 | 16.0% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $500 billion at any point by January 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-be-worth-500b-by-trump-inauguration
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| kong6 | Yes | 1.01K |
| Syed218 | Yes | 782.14 |
| d_hlv | Yes | 730.93 |
| sgkjfoiguqw | Yes | 360.41 |
| windowsxpfan | Yes | 277.78 |
| Alex255385 | Yes | 190.03 |