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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 229.03 | $0.306 | $10.31 | -$59.69 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 372 |
| $0.010 |
| $3.72 |
| May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 372 | $0.013 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | May 7, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | May 2, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.320 | $10.32 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.190 | $11.18 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | sell | 62.27 | $0.660 | $41.1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.65 | $0.536 | $10 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 117.64 | $0.110 | $12.94 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.690 | $15 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.529 | $15.12 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | sell | 32.25 | $0.863 | $27.84 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.680 | $10.46 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 44.05 | $0.029 | $1.28 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 37.11 | $0.539 | $20 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 44.05 | $0.227 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | buy | 40.54 | $0.740 | $30 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.650 | $10.48 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.220 | $4.78 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.95 | $0.630 | $11.31 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.962 | $2.29 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 4.05 | $0.730 | $2.96 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.180 | $1.38 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.160 | $0.69 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.260 | $0.81 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |