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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 33 | $0.963 | $31.73 | -$0.05 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 33.06 | $0.999 | $33.03 | 4d ago |
|
| buy |
| 33.07 |
| $0.998 |
| $33 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 32.53 | $0.996 | $32.4 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 32.54 | $0.994 | $32.34 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 32.06 | $0.997 | $31.96 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 32.06 | $0.998 | $32 | May 7, 2026 |
 Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 29.09 | $0.997 | $29 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 11.24K | $0.990 | $11.13K | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 11.24K | $0.991 | $11.14K | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.860 | $12.9 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.824 | $15.66 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.790 | $17.38 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 19.35 | $0.982 | $19 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | sell | 141 | $0.610 | $86.01 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 141 | $0.380 | $53.58 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 150 | $0.391 | $58.65 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.608 | $91.2 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?No | sell | 116 | $0.460 | $53.36 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 116 | $0.530 | $61.48 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | sell | 176 | $0.995 | $175.12 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 176 | $0.004 | $0.7 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | sell | 141 | $0.560 | $78.96 | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 141 | $0.430 | $60.63 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?No | sell | 146 | $0.951 | $138.85 | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 146 | $0.047 | $6.86 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?No | sell | 138 | $0.050 | $6.9 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?Yes | sell | 138 | $0.940 | $129.72 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | sell | 158 | $0.990 | $156.42 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+Yes | sell | 158 | $0.008 | $1.26 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | sell | 130 | $0.283 | $36.79 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.714 | $92.82 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | sell | 165 | $0.996 | $164.34 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 165 | $0.003 | $0.5 | Oct 12, 2024 |