Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 87.12 | $0.115 | $7.41 | -$2.59 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.041 | $0.62 | May 7, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 12.5 |
| $0.400 |
| $4.25 |
| -$0.75 |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 57.44 | $0.062 | $2.96 | -$0.6 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | Yes | 23.57 | $0.106 | $2.31 | -$0.19 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 16.11 | $0.064 | $0.85 | -$0.19 |
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 12 | $0.084 | $0.7 | -$0.31 |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | No | 9 | $0.131 | $0.53 | -$0.65 |
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | No | 0.3 | $0.400 | $0.29 | +$0.17 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | No | 2.79 | $0.153 | $0.23 | -$0.19 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 0.53 | $0.234 | $0.13 | +$0 |
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.13 | $0.280 | $0.12 | +$0.08 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.33 | $0.060 | $0.03 | +$0.01 |
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 45.73 | $0.091 | $0.02 | -$4.14 |
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?No| sell |
| 16.13 |
| $0.340 |
| $5.48 |
| May 6, 2026 |
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?Yes | sell | 29.22 | $0.001 | $0.03 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?Yes | sell | 17.72 | $0.006 | $0.11 | May 3, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.4 | $0.041 | $1.45 | May 3, 2026 |
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 80.65 | $0.014 | $1.13 | May 2, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.140 | $4.38 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 86.2 | $0.064 | $5.52 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?No | sell | 21.64 | $0.062 | $1.34 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes | sell | 38.42 | $0.023 | $0.88 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Brex IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Brex IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.084 | $0.42 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?Yes | sell | 53.76 | $0.068 | $3.66 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | sell | 10.19 | $0.410 | $4.18 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.360 | $5.45 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No | sell | 5 | $0.264 | $1.32 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No | sell | 5 | $0.321 | $1.61 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.72 | $0.080 | $0.78 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.32 | $0.160 | $4.21 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Yes | sell | 65.79 | $0.006 | $0.39 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 14.44 | $0.057 | $0.82 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.059 | $0.59 | Apr 9, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | sell | 54.95 | $0.101 | $5.55 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.064 | $0.64 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.064 | $0.32 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 53.4 | $0.031 | $1.66 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 15.62 | $0.340 | $5.31 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?Yes | sell | 45.88 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?Yes | sell | 92.59 | $0.001 | $0.09 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?No | sell | 56.44 | $0.027 | $1.52 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | sell | 75.76 | $0.005 | $0.38 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?No | sell | 7.83 | $0.032 | $0.25 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | sell | 96.15 | $0.020 | $1.92 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?Yes | sell | 85.34 | $0.001 | $0.09 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?No | sell | 27 | $0.017 | $0.46 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?Yes | sell | 13.01 | $0.011 | $0.14 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?Yes | sell | 16.4 | $0.017 | $0.28 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.75 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Mar 30, 2026 |
100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?Yes | sell | 102.89 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?No | sell | 14.84 | $0.321 | $4.76 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 16.1 | $0.060 | $0.97 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes | sell | 2.2 | $0.200 | $0.44 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?Yes | sell | 13.53 | $0.108 | $1.46 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.070 | $3.64 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?No | sell | 14.16 | $0.392 | $5.55 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.076 | $5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?Yes | sell | 5.23 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Mar 24, 2026 |