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Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 80.16 | $0.624 | $67.66 | +$17.66 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 150.01 | $0.971 | $145.66 | Jun 6, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 18.12 |
| $0.276 |
| $2.29 |
| -$2.71 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1.65 | +$0.65 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1.57 | +$0.57 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| buy |
| 81.52 |
| $0.730 |
| $59.51 |
| May 18, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 47.47 | $0.632 | $30 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 80.16 | $0.624 | $50 | May 6, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 165.48 | $0.030 | $5 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?Yes | buy | 32.02 | $0.625 | $20 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Democrat" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?No | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 16.96 | $0.961 | $16.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?No | sell | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.447 | $44.69 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will JD Vance say "Nuclear" during Michigan visit?Yes | buy | 34.24 | $0.584 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during Michigan visit?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?No | buy | 25 | $0.740 | $18.5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?No | buy | 25 | $0.730 | $18.25 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?No | buy | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the Oscars?No | buy | 46.75 | $0.021 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Emma Stone attend the Oscars?No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Michael B. Jordan attend the Oscars?No | buy | 204.73 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Timothée Chalamet attend the Oscars?No | buy | 221.62 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Vance say "Hottest" during his Rocky Mount visit?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Vance say "Israel" during his Rocky Mount visit?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 1.46 | $0.686 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 13.02 | $0.384 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 15.97 | $0.646 | $10.32 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 15.97 | $0.313 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 4.1 | $0.240 | $0.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Down | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Electricity" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 16.96 | $0.590 | $10 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 14.38 | $0.695 | $10 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 63.82 | $0.160 | $10.2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 63.83 | $0.470 | $30 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Al Green attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 17.58 | $0.981 | $17.25 | Feb 25, 2026 |