Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.43 | $0.954 | $0.42 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 90 | $0.944 | $84.96 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 90 |
| $0.961 |
| $86.49 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.964 | $22.17 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 97 | $0.890 | $86.33 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 81 | $0.973 | $78.81 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 88 | $0.972 | $85.54 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.093 | $14.51 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 105 | $0.907 | $95.24 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 105 | $0.907 | $95.24 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 89 | $0.969 | $86.24 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 84 | $0.860 | $72.24 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.920 | $36.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 113 | $0.840 | $94.92 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 143 | $0.056 | $8.01 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 143 | $0.057 | $8.15 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.023 | $0.51 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.270 | $5.94 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 102 | $0.524 | $53.43 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 102 | $0.470 | $47.94 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 38 | $0.850 | $32.3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 38 | $0.850 | $32.3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 97 | $0.910 | $88.27 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 82 | $0.963 | $78.97 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.934 | $32.69 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 85 | $0.937 | $79.65 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33.95 | $0.848 | $28.79 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 40 | $0.670 | $26.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 91 | $0.988 | $89.91 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 178 | $0.460 | $81.88 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 96 | $0.938 | $90.05 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.270 | $11.07 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 113 | $0.900 | $101.7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 113 | $0.900 | $101.7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 287 | $0.017 | $4.88 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 193 | $0.370 | $71.41 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.670 | $90.45 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 1 | $0.959 | $0.96 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 83 | $0.927 | $76.94 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 83 | $0.960 | $79.68 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.045 | $2.79 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 65 | $0.954 | $62.01 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 79 | $0.954 | $75.37 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 90 | $0.988 | $88.92 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.210 | $3.99 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.220 | $4.18 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 103 | $0.988 | $101.76 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 201 | $0.510 | $102.51 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 201 | $0.510 | $102.51 | Jun 5, 2026 |