Latest trade
Mar 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:28 AM UTC.
Analytics
Sinistrao is down $2.08 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 3 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:28 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 16 trades covered 13 markets; 93.8% were buys. They run from Mar 7, 2026 UTC to Mar 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.480 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 2.34 | $0.427 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 06:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 05:28 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
16 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 05:28 UTC
polymarket positions
5 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:04 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $0.59 and losing ones cost $0.24 across 3 settled positions.
The largest win was $0.45 on “Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.24 on “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Mar 2026. It has traded 13 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.43 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 3.45 |
| $0.290 |
| $1 |
| Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.250 | $0.76 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.679 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 1m ago. Watch only — not advice.