Latest trade
Jan 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 4:35 PM UTC.
Analytics
Flawed-Sill is down $56.14 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 4:35 PM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 25 trades covered 20 markets; 92.0% were buys. They run from Dec 19, 2025 UTC to Jan 15, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.130 | $1.65 | -$8.35 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-15 12:08 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 16:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
25 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 16:35 UTC
polymarket positions
3 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-15 12:08 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
The largest win was $1.09 on “Houthi strike on Israel by January 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Jan 2026. It has traded 20 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.72 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 30 |
| $0.200 |
| $1.07 |
| -$4.94 |
| sell |
| 22.68 |
| $0.224 |
| $5.09 |
| Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.089 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Houthi strike on Israel by January 31?Yes | buy | 22.68 | $0.176 | $4 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 77.98 | $0.510 | $39.77 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 16?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.025 | $4 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get between 34 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 522.5 | $0.004 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.065 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.88 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 6?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.019 | $2 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.29 | $0.310 | $19 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.014 | $18 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.