Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 144 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 1 Apr 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 27% on 17 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 11.5% on 21 Nov 2025. $110.74K traded over the market's life.
116 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 11:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 144 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 1 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 25.0% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Scrawny-Mole | Yes | 2.43K |
| Beneficial-Scraper | Yes | 2.23K |
| alpina225 | Yes | 1.64K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-by-march-31
| Frilly-Difference | Yes | 1.22K |
| Vanot1x | Yes | 1.12K |
| Fearless-Freon | Yes | 846.33 |
| Azure Falcon 7A5E | Yes | 729.33 |
| Tommy91 | Yes | 581.42 |
| Curvy-Gift | Yes | 500 |
| liron23 | Yes | 319.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
