Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:16 AM UTC.
Analytics
Cobalt Kestrel 6EBD is down $11.61 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 49 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:16 AM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jul 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26? | Yes | 1.49 | $0.670 | $0.93 | -$0.07 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | 2d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 14:42 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 11:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 11:16 UTC
polymarket positions
50 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 14:42 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $30.99 and losing ones cost $42.6 across 49 settled positions. 49% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.93 on “Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.08 on “Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 52 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.85 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 2.44 |
| $0.410 |
| $0.73 |
| -$0.27 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of October 19 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
| buy |
| 4.76 |
| $0.210 |
| $1 |
| 3d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 3d ago |
 United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 5d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 5d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?Down | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 13d ago |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 13d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?Up | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 22d ago |
| Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 12?Up | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3 | $0.370 | $1.11 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.6 | $0.263 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 2.72 | $0.740 | $2.01 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.610 | $1.86 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.58 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.