Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 27.5%. Yes opened at 74.5% on 19 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 28 Aug 2026, the highest close was 74.5% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 56.5% on 21 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 57% on 20 Aug 2026. $5.25K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 29, 2:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 28 Aug 2026, chart shows 50%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 74.5% |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 72.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RetroATM | Yes | 546.59 |
| Coral Meteor 4D90 | Yes | 322.9 |
| steevo | Yes | 160.78 |
| dazhuandakui | Yes | 68.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-speech-at-jackson-hole-01
| BobbyFlash | Yes | 67.57 |
| Mithrandir. | Yes | 50 |
| Cultivated-Excursion | Yes | 50 |
| SickandTired | Yes | 49.99 |
| petercapo | Yes | 13.51 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
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