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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.5K | $0.690 | $697.5 | -$337.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?No | sell | 46.81 | $0.630 | $29.49 | 5d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 300 |
| $0.790 |
| $246 |
| +$9 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | $0.600 | $222.5 | -$77.5 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 230 | $0.850 | $198.95 | +$3.45 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 250 | $0.720 | $186.25 | +$6.25 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 600 | $0.420 | $177 | -$75 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.699 | $115.6 | -$24.2 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | Yes | 300 | $0.248 | $9.15 | -$65.35 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | No | 29.99 | $0.467 | $8.1 | -$5.9 |
| sell |
| 397.03 |
| $0.330 |
| $131.02 |
| 5d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | sell | 449.99 | $0.162 | $72.96 | 5d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.216 | $32.4 | 7d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.086 | $8.6 | 7d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.080 | $40.18 | 7d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?No | buy | 46.81 | $0.470 | $22 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.600 | $300 | 11d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Payment System" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.700 | $50 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.670 | $50 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | 12d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?No | buy | 540 | $0.390 | $210.6 | 13d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | sell | 350 | $0.860 | $301 | 15d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | sell | 149.99 | $0.870 | $130.49 | 15d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 17d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 230 | $0.850 | $195.5 | 20d ago |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.467 | $14 | 20d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.720 | $180 | 20d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.806 | $112.9 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.699 | $139.8 | 20d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.248 | $74.5 | 20d ago |
 Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Lakers vs. ThunderThunder | buy | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | May 5, 2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers | buy | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 220.3 | $0.920 | $202.68 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 10 | $0.883 | $8.83 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | buy | 10 | $0.856 | $8.56 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.860 | $146.2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Nuggets vs. BucksNuggets | sell | 232.28 | $0.330 | $76.65 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Nuggets vs. BucksNuggets | sell | 267.72 | $0.350 | $93.7 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Nuggets vs. BucksNuggets | sell | 535.8 | $0.350 | $187.53 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Nuggets vs. BucksNuggets | sell | 575 | $0.350 | $201.25 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Kings vs. CavaliersKings | sell | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Kings vs. CavaliersKings | buy | 200 | $0.210 | $42 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Kings vs. CavaliersKings | sell | 8.37 | $0.220 | $1.84 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Spurs vs. JazzJazz | sell | 1K | $0.200 | $200 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Magic vs. JazzJazz | buy | 3K | $0.290 | $870 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 110 | $0.923 | $101.53 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Heat vs. MagicMagic | buy | 3.1K | $0.480 | $1.49K | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Clippers vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | sell | 136.01 | $0.440 | $59.84 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.951 | $190.2 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 192.5 | $0.850 | $163.71 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Pistons vs. HeatPistons | buy | 1.37K | $0.990 | $1.35K | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Clippers vs. MagicClippers | buy | 11K | $0.330 | $3.63K | Nov 20, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No | buy | 300 | $0.960 | $288 | Nov 17, 2025 |