Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 21.5%. Yes opened at 12% on 13 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the highest close was 36.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 12% on 13 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 23.5% on 17 Oct 2026. $2.06K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 11:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 12.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 204.8 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 200 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| JusDuB | No | 20.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to Thermo Fisher's organic revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/thermo-fisher-tmo-q3-organic-revenue-growth-non-gaap-20261008120022000
| bjprolo | No | 9.99 |
| Keen Comet 70F8 | No | 6.5 |
| Glory.be.to.God | No | 5.81 |
| Solar Horizon 180A | No | 2.13 |
| scotsban | Yes | 0.09 |
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