Latest trade
May 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 3:24 AM UTC.
Analytics
nathaniel41 is down $15 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 3:24 AM UTC.
$2.79 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 27 markets; 58.0% were buys. They run from Mar 4, 2025 UTC to May 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on May 18?No | buy | 3.84 | $0.998 | $3.83 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-20 00:55 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 03:24 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 03:24 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-20 00:55 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.31 and losing ones cost $16.31 across the latest 50 settled positions. 22% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.21 on “Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in scoring?” (Yes); the largest loss, $4.04 on “Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 May 2026. It has traded 49 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 3.94 |
| $0.998 |
| $3.93 |
| May 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 8?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.999 | $3.18 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 8?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.999 | $3.71 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.04K | $0.994 | $4.02K | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 4.04K | $0.995 | $4.02K | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will XRP reach $5.00 in September?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.999 | $2.82 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.993 | $4.03 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
 Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.996 | $4.05 | Jun 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Lebron James retire before July?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.994 | $2.94 | Jun 27, 2025 UTC |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 1.62 | $0.617 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 UTC |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.635 | $1.03 | Jun 18, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?Up | sell | 2.35 | $0.390 | $0.92 | Jun 17, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?Up | buy | 2.35 | $0.480 | $1.13 | Jun 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.560 | $1.3 | Jun 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 2.32 | $0.590 | $1.37 | Jun 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.640 | $1.56 | May 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 2.43 | $0.650 | $1.58 | May 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?Yes | sell | 5.28 | $0.552 | $2.91 | May 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?Yes | buy | 5.29 | $0.558 | $2.95 | May 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1.08K | $0.991 | $1.07K | Apr 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.992 | $1.07K | Apr 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No | sell | 4 | $0.650 | $2.6 | Mar 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 4 | $0.660 | $2.64 | Mar 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Barcelona win La Liga?No | sell | 9.58 | $0.310 | $2.97 | Mar 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga?No | buy | 9.58 | $0.330 | $3.16 | Mar 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?Yes | sell | 3.48 | $0.600 | $2.09 | Mar 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?Yes | buy | 3.48 | $0.620 | $2.16 | Mar 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 3.78 | $0.610 | $2.31 | Mar 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 3.78 | $0.640 | $2.42 | Mar 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 4.71 | $0.640 | $3.01 | Mar 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 4.71 | $0.660 | $3.11 | Mar 18, 2025 UTC |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 3.05 | $0.680 | $2.07 | Mar 16, 2025 UTC |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.690 | $2.11 | Mar 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | sell | 6.72 | $0.510 | $3.43 | Mar 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | buy | 6.72 | $0.540 | $3.63 | Mar 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 6.64 | $0.540 | $3.59 | Mar 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 6.64 | $0.560 | $3.72 | Mar 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will the ECB announce no change?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.480 | $2.76 | Mar 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will the ECB announce no change?No | buy | 5.74 | $0.500 | $2.87 | Mar 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?No | sell | 6.16 | $0.530 | $3.26 | Mar 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.600 | $3.7 | Mar 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.65 | $0.390 | $1.81 | Mar 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Mar 11, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?No | sell | 1.84 | $0.610 | $1.12 | Mar 11, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.640 | $1.18 | Mar 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | sell | 3.09 | $0.640 | $1.98 | Mar 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.660 | $2.04 | Mar 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga?No | sell | 2.8 | $0.440 | $1.23 | Mar 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga?No | buy | 2.8 | $0.460 | $1.29 | Mar 4, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.