Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 49.5%. Yes opened at 14% on 25 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2025 to 6 Apr 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 6 Apr 2025 and the lowest 14% on 25 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 46.5% on 31 Mar 2025. $1.68M traded over the market's life.
121 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 7, 5:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 25 Jan 2025 – 6 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2025 | 14.0% |
| 6 Apr 2025 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 525.47K |
| Mangy62 | Yes | 13.08K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 3.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2025-ncaa-tournament-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 3K |
| tsstroud | Yes | 2.63K |
| 1237pauly | Yes | 1.85K |
| kristinboyd | Yes | 969.84 |
| rosealejandro | Yes | 950 |
| kevinluna | Yes | 948.06 |
| solomongloria | Yes | 935.86 |
