Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Biden pardon Trump?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.025 | $20 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 69.18 |
| $0.289 |
| $20 |
| Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?Yes | buy | 540.54 | $0.037 | $20 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.320 | $200 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?Yes | buy | 53.42 | $0.374 | $20 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Wisconsin by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 AK-1 election: Peltola (D) vs. Begich (R)Begich | buy | 17.95 | $0.557 | $10 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)Kent | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Miller-Meeks | buy | 16.56 | $0.604 | $10 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 OR-05 election: Bynum (D) vs. Chavez-DeRemer (R)DeRemer | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Miami?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Who will win Kent county?Trump | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Who will win Clark county?Trump | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Who will win Bucks county?Trump | buy | 21.87 | $0.457 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Who will win Maricopa county?Trump | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Who will win Erie county?Trump | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Who will win Macomb county?Trump | buy | 11.06 | $0.904 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Michigan US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.095 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.088 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 81.97 | $0.122 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will another state be the closest state?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Nevada be the closest state?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.360 | $150 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 390.63 | $0.640 | $250 | Oct 23, 2024 |