Analytics
Resolved Harris on 16 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Harris at 99.7%. The Harris side opened at 85% on 20 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 58 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2024 to 16 Nov 2024, the highest close was 99.7% on 15 Nov 2024 and the lowest 73% on 23 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 98.9% on 7 Nov 2024. $55.41K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 17, 9:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Harris price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 20 Sep 2024 – 16 Nov 2024, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Harris price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2024 | 85.0% |
| 16 Nov 2024 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kingfisher | Trump | 778.87 |
| FastCar | Trump | 637.5 |
| basilroll | Trump | 555.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Clark county vote tally.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/swing-districts-2024
| Trump |
| 144.65 |
| babyburd | Trump | 113.33 |
| dage | Trump | 109.99 |
| A1Bets | Trump | 100 |
| YetiDancer | Trump | 100 |
| YOU | Trump | 0.95 |
| Trump2024-Forever | Trump | 0.1 |
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