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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting? | No | 0.87 | $0.741 | $0.85 | +$0.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 PlayoffsG2 Esports | sell | 283.8 | $0.999 | $283.52 | 12d ago |
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| No |
| 0.62 |
| $0.563 |
| $0.62 |
| +$0.27 |
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | No | 0.36 | $0.380 | $0.35 | +$0.21 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 0.61 | $-4.159 | $0.29 | +$2.82 |
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 0.76 | $0.350 | $0.18 | -$0.08 |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 0.6 | $0.450 | $0.14 | -$0.13 |
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 0.78 | $0.260 | $0.13 | -$0.07 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.620 | $0.11 | +$0.02 |
Natural Disaster in 2026? | No | 0.11 | $0.730 | $0.1 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 283.83 |
| $0.480 |
| $136.24 |
| 12d ago |
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Yes | sell | 33.04 | $0.380 | $12.56 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 20.7 | $0.680 | $14.08 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 60.52 | $0.280 | $16.92 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?No | sell | 37.15 | $0.600 | $22.29 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.23 | $0.410 | $0.91 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?No | buy | 21.32 | $0.741 | $15.79 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Yes | sell | 9.86 | $0.330 | $3.25 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Yes | sell | 10.9 | $0.340 | $3.71 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Delta Q2 passenger load factor be between 83% and 85%?No | sell | 20.75 | $0.460 | $9.55 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.49 | $0.580 | $11.88 | Jun 24, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?No | sell | 38.75 | $0.430 | $16.66 | Jun 24, 2026 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes | sell | 32.79 | $0.390 | $12.79 | Jun 24, 2026 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes | sell | 20.55 | $0.550 | $11.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20.73 | $0.520 | $10.78 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.430 | $2.23 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.5B?No | buy | 21.72 | $0.640 | $13.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.67 | $0.450 | $12 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 20.62 | $0.640 | $13.2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?No | buy | 26.34 | $0.680 | $17.91 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?No | sell | 20.69 | $0.560 | $11.59 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Trump praise Susan Dell by June 30?No | sell | 20.44 | $0.670 | $13.69 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?No | buy | 39.08 | $0.800 | $31.26 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes | sell | 30.95 | $0.343 | $10.62 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | sell | 1.8 | $0.550 | $0.99 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | sell | 18.73 | $0.570 | $10.68 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will PPI YoY be between 6.0% and 6.9% in May?No | sell | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Yes | sell | 21.04 | $0.390 | $8.21 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?No | sell | 20.82 | $0.480 | $9.99 | May 31, 2026 |
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No | sell | 34.72 | $0.360 | $12.5 | May 31, 2026 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?No | sell | 20.59 | $0.670 | $13.8 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.5 | $0.620 | $8.99 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 18.98 | $0.620 | $11.77 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.670 | $1.08 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.650 | $0.81 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?No | buy | 42.83 | $0.660 | $28.27 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Yes | sell | 37.89 | $0.300 | $11.37 | May 30, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12AM ETDown | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2MIBR | sell | 167.2 | $0.978 | $163.47 | May 29, 2026 |
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2MIBR | buy | 167.21 | $0.426 | $71.26 | May 29, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7PM ETDown | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6PM ETDown | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ETDown | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETDown | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |