Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.3%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 24 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.3% on 9 Jul 2026 and the low 51.5% on 26 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 71.5% on 6 Jul 2026. $122.74K traded over the market's life.
82 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 10, 7:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 16 points · 24 Jun 2026 – 9 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | 56.5% |
| 9 Jul 2026 | 99.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| balthazar | No | 4.78K |
| GT2RShunter | No | 2.4K |
| LukeDelta | No | 2K |
| somclaren | No | 1.79K |
| labistiiia | No | 1K |
| norealtime | No | 1K |
| HerrieDavis | No | 948.37 |
| Remorseful-Permission-Bridge | No | 746.44 |
| yamamoto. | No | 625 |
| Grown-Limitation | No | 605.87 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gpt-5pt6-released-by
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