Analytics
George.Smiley has made $56.62K on Polymarket, #3,259 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 17.2K | $0.282 | $16.89K | +$12.03K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 15:00 UTC
Polymarket public position response
11 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 19:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 19:58 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 06:02 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $116.54K and losing ones cost $43.05K across the latest 50 settled positions. 86% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $23.5K on “Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?” (Yes); the largest loss, $12.77K on “Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?” (Yes).
It has traded 302 markets. Its open positions are worth $50.98K across 11 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 15.02K |
| $0.230 |
| $14.64K |
| +$11.18K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 10K | $0.930 | $9.25K | -$50 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 10K | $0.630 | $6.55K | +$250 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.62K | $0.356 | $1.58K | +$1.01K |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.31K | $0.380 | $831.79 | +$334.03 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 625.34 | $0.530 | $578.44 | +$247.24 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3K | $0.166 | $319.5 | -$178.5 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.309 | $271.2 | -$222.8 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 200 | $0.365 | $64.8 | -$8.2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | Yes | 275.25 | $0.148 | $0.14 | -$40.6 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
