Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026? | No | 729.63 | $0.981 | $721.24 | +$5.47 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.700 | $980.76 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.31K |
| $0.380 |
| $661.5 |
| +$163.74 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 625.34 | $0.530 | $500.27 | +$169.08 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 869.99 | $0.570 | $439.35 | -$56.55 |
 Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | No | 254.39 | $0.850 | $252.74 | +$36.5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.309 | $231.2 | -$262.8 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3K | $0.166 | $217.5 | -$280.5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 499.99 | $0.270 | $202.5 | +$67.5 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.408 | $23.5 | -$17.3 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.087 | $6.1 | -$11.3 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 19.23 | $0.168 | $4.52 | +$1.28 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | Yes | 4.77 | $0.170 | $0.25 | -$0.57 |
| buy |
| 568.78 |
| $0.987 |
| $561.45 |
| 27d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 580 | $0.990 | $574.1 | 27d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 599.98 | $0.667 | $399.99 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 75.34 | $0.580 | $43.7 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.45K | $0.960 | $1.39K | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.850 | $1.12K | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.65K | $0.840 | $2.23K | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.71K | $0.596 | $1.62K | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.835 | $2.17K | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.16K | $0.808 | $4.98K | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7K | $0.677 | $2.5K | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.99K | $0.660 | $1.32K | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.48K | $0.477 | $5.47K | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 440.25 | $0.160 | $70.44 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.077 | $93.06 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 251.71 | $0.130 | $32.72 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.080 | $92.52 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 891.11 | $0.057 | $50.65 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 560 | $0.055 | $30.63 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 7, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 5, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.996 | $398.4 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 510.17 | $0.089 | $45.23 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 162.42 | $0.080 | $12.99 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 282.55 | $0.100 | $28.26 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 884.43 | $0.069 | $60.82 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 4, 2026?No | buy | 5.14K | $0.999 | $5.13K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 3, 2026?No | buy | 529.9 | $0.999 | $529.37 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 787 | $0.060 | $47.22 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 539 | $0.022 | $11.86 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to June 2, 2026?No | buy | 469.31 | $0.998 | $468.43 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 337 | $0.050 | $16.85 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.159 | $318 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.005 | $0.4 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.66K | $0.999 | $3.66K | May 30, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 639.68 | $0.999 | $639.04 | May 23, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.630 | $630 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.960 | $1.64K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 7.14K | $0.927 | $6.62K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.3K | $0.910 | $4.83K | May 18, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 286 | $0.850 | $243.1 | May 18, 2026 |
 No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?Yes | sell | 72.14 | $0.350 | $25.25 | May 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.380 | $380 | May 18, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?No | sell | 1.12K | $0.082 | $91.97 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes | buy | 4.35K | $0.897 | $3.91K | May 17, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.85K | $0.152 | $432.2 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 430 | $0.263 | $113.18 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.62K | $0.271 | $709.84 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.770 | $1.58K | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 15?No | buy | 12.17 | $0.999 | $12.16 | May 14, 2026 |